WNBA
Indiana FevervDallas Wings
Best-of-market odds · combined margin ~1.7%. Prices move constantly — check current markets.
After the match
How it played out
The Indiana Fever defeated the Dallas Wings with a final score of 98 to 87. As the market favorite at approximately 74% implied probability, the Fever held their expectation and delivered a victory against the Wings.
How our pre-game read held up
The pre-game analysis accurately highlighted the Fever's strong form and scoring ability, suggesting they would exploit the Wings' defensive shortcomings. Given the final score, this perspective was confirmed, as the Fever maintained their offensive dominance throughout the game.
BetWiser's pre-game analysis (published before the event)
The matchup
The Indiana Fever enter this matchup with a strong record of 13 wins and 4 losses from 17 games, showcasing a scoring average of 98.5 points. In their recent encounters, the Fever's form has been impressive, with their latest victory against the New York Liberty on August 11 ending 106-92 in their favor. They also secured a close win against the Chicago Sky, 90-86, on August 8. However, they faced defeats against the Las Vegas Aces and the Minnesota Lynx in close contests, indicating that while they are strong, they are not invincible.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Wings have a record of 10 wins and 8 losses from 18 games, averaging 88.4 points for and allowing 85.9 points against. Recent form shows mixed results; they stood tall against Toronto Tempo with a 94-88 win on August 13 but suffered defeats to the Minnesota Lynx and the Golden State Valkyries prior. Their defensive lapses are evident, particularly in those recent losses, as they allowed 103 and 94 points respectively. Against the Fever's high-octane offense, any defensive shortcomings could be exploited.
Does the price match the form?
The best market odds currently show the Indiana Fever at $1.38, which translates to an implied probability of 72.5%. On the other hand, the Dallas Wings are priced at $3.15, indicating a 31.7% implied probability. The overall market totals 104.2%, illustrating the bookmakers' margin on this matchup. When comparing the Fever's strong record and high scoring average against the implied probability, questions arise about whether the odds fully reflect their recent performances or if the market has overvalued them given their recent struggles against tough opponents.
Where to look in the markets
Given the scores, a few markets seem particularly worth investigating. First, the total points over/under market is a key consideration. With a combined scoring average of about 187 total points between both teams—well above any standard line—an examination of the bookmaker's posted total will be crucial. Additionally, the point spread market warrants attention; Indiana's recent ability to either win closely or secure blowout victories could lead to lines that don't account for their fluctuating performance. Lastly, player props could be intriguing, especially if specific Fever players are consistently involved in their scoring exploits, given their high offensive outputs in recent matches.
Before you bet, check
- What is the latest injury report for both teams?
- Are there any travel issues or notables from the team's recent schedule?
- How have the teams fared in previous matchups this season?
- What are the latest player lineups, particularly for critical contributors?
- What is the venue’s impact on player performance, especially at home for the Fever?
Staking this game
With Indiana Fever priced at $1.38, a 72% strike rate is required just to break even on the stake. Employing a disciplined staking strategy, a flat stake of 1-2% of your bankroll could help weather the inevitable losing periods, even when backing a strong favorite like the Fever.