SOCCER · A-League Men · Round 2
Brisbane RoarvPerth Glory
Best-of-market odds · combined margin ~0.5%. Prices move constantly — check current markets.
After the match
How it played out
Brisbane Roar secured a 2-1 victory over Perth Glory, confirming their status as the market favourite. With Brisbane's odds implying a ~42% chance of winning, they delivered a performance that aligned with the expectations set by the pre-game odds.
How our pre-game read held up
The pre-game analysis accurately highlighted Brisbane Roar's home advantage and Perth Glory's vulnerabilities. Given Perth's previous form and struggles defensively, the analysis held up as the result reflected a favorable outcome for Brisbane.
BetWiser's pre-game analysis (published before the event)
The matchup
Brisbane Roar will host Perth Glory at Suncorp Stadium for their Round 2 clash in the A-League Men competition. The Roar enter this match with the advantage of being on their home turf, where they typically perform better, while Perth's form has left room for concern. The Glory have played only one game this season and registered a loss against Macarthur, suffering a 1-2 defeat, leaving them with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match.
Brisbane Roar's recent form is unclear given that there is no data available for their performances this season. However, the limited evidence from Perth Glory suggests they might struggle as they have yet to secure any points. The last five matches for Perth indicate a troubling trend as they appear vulnerable defensively, with noticeable issues in keeping their opponents from scoring. As they face Brisbane, questions about their ability to steady the ship defensively will be critical.
Does the price match the form?
The current best-of-market odds for this fixture show Brisbane Roar at $2.20, implying a 45.5% probability of winning. Following them is Perth Glory at $3.40 with a 29.4% implied probability, and the draw is priced at $3.70, suggesting a 27.0% chance. The combined bookmaker margin results in a total market of 101.9%.
This market view for Brisbane Roar's chances appears to lean towards a favorable outcome when contrasted with Perth Glory's lackluster recent form. Given that Perth has demonstrated defensive vulnerabilities and a poor result in their opening match, one might question if the Roar should be deemed such clear favorites or if the odds accurately reflect their capabilities based on available statistics.
Where to look in the markets
- Head-to-head: Brisbane's favorable odds suggest they are expected to win, but examining historical performance against Perth could yield insights.
- Totals over/under: Given Perth's defensive struggles, it will be worth comparing the bookmaker's line on total goals scored against their current average of 1.0 goals for and 2.0 against.
- Margin markets: With Perth averaging 2.0 goals conceded, it raises questions about markets handing Brisbane a comfortable victory margin—this could be different depending on how they perform in this fixture.
Before you bet, check
- What's the latest team news, including injuries and starting lineups for both teams?
- How will the weather conditions affect play at Suncorp Stadium?
- What is the travel history of Perth Glory leading into this match?
- Is there any news about the mental state or morale of the teams after their previous matches?
Staking this game
With the shortest price in the market at $2.20, a bettor would need to achieve a 45% strike rate just to break even. Given the inherent risks in betting, employing a 1-2% flat staking strategy can help manage potential losing streaks associated with betting on a favorite.