WORLDCUP · FIFA World Cup 2026
Ivory CoastvNorway
Best-of-market odds when this analysis was generated · market total 100.4% — shopping the best price at each bookmaker shrinks or removes the usual margin. Prices move constantly — check current markets.
The matchup
This matchup features Ivory Coast and Norway, with the former coming off a win against Curaçao, having secured a 2-0 victory on June 25, 2026. This marks Ivory Coast's sole match this 2026 season, and they currently boast a scoring average of 2.0 points for and 0.0 against. Their defensive record stands strong, as indicated by not allowing any goals in their completed game.
Norway, on the other hand, has displayed a more inconsistent form in their two 2026 matches: they won 3-2 against Senegal, but suffered a significant defeat to France with a score of 1-4 on June 26. This leaves Norway with an average of 2.0 points for and 3.0 against, pointing to potential vulnerabilities in their defense. The discrepancy in defensive records between the two teams could be pivotal, especially considering that the combined scoring average suggests a total of about 4 points if both sides perform at their current levels.
Does the price match the form?
The current market prices reveal the following implied probabilities for this match: Ivory Coast at $3.80 has a 26.3% implied probability, Norway at $2.18 shows 45.9%, and a draw at $3.55 carries a 28.2% implied chance, resulting in a market total of 100.4%. In assessing Norway as the favourite with a nearly 46% implied win probability, it’s worth exploring whether this aligns with their recent results, particularly their defensive issues demonstrated in their loss to France. Will the market's confidence in Norway’s ability to win hold up when juxtaposed with their recent performance, especially against a defensively sound Ivory Coast?
Where to look in the markets
Consider examining the following markets based on the data provided: the three-way 1X2 market, where the current implied probability of Norway winning suggests a closer look is warranted given Ivory Coast’s strong defensive record; the double chance market, particularly on Ivory Coast or Draw, which reflects their single win and lack of conceded goals; and both teams to score, capitalizing on Norway’s recent mixed form that saw them score against Senegal but also concede heavily against France. Comparing the scoring averages and defensive stats will provide insights when reviewing the bookmakers' lines in these markets.
Before you bet, check
- What are the latest team selections and injury updates for both teams?
- How might the travel schedule affect Norway’s performance coming into this match?
- What are the weather conditions expected at the venue on the match day?
- Are there any competition-specific formats, such as tie-breakers, that could influence this game?
Staking this game
With Norway's shortest market price at $2.18 requiring a 46% strike rate to break even, exercising discipline through 1-2% flat staking can help manage the variability inherent in betting—especially when dealing with favourites that can be prone to unexpected outcomes.